Thursday, September 16, 2010

The Slippery Slope Fallacy

Out of the Content Fallacies that were listed, I will be explaining the “slippery slope fallacy.” A slippery slope fallacy dictates and argues that a chain of events will occur or continue regardless of whether or not the first and later statements are true or false. These types of arguments and statements happen quite frequently in the real world.

An example of this could be the prediction of weather. Just the other day, I overheard the following: “We had a really mild and chilly summer, so this fall and winter will most likely bring a high volume of rainfall.” Not even the best meteorologists have made a claim so far in advance. Unless that particular individual is some type of prophet or psychic, how can one make this assumption and presume it to be accurate? The weather that occurs later in the year could also be as mild as the summer weather.

2 comments:

  1. Hey, I like the example you have picked out for the fallacy you have chosen. Your definition made sense and cleared the doubt I had when I read it in the textbook. It is true that one cannot just assume future events based on the certain current events. So I do agree with your argument. Since this argument deals with the weather, I don;t think even meteorologists can be so accurate on their future readings. . I think you argument can be debated on how one defines "advance". Nontheless, I like the way you explained your argument with such an example.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Your post about slippery slope fallacy was good and understandable. Your example was good to because every plausible claim was in order until you got to the conclusion. I use slippery slopes when I want to predict who will win the Super Bowl or the World cup many times. I also did slippery slope too but yours was very clean and had a good example. The weather was good because no one can predict the weather in San Jose if its cold or going to be a little warm. But you can probably bet that its gonna be cold and raining in the winter on a slippery slope fallacy or not.

    ReplyDelete